Numerical Models’ Value in Predicting Extreme Events

Numerical Models Value

Numerical models solve equations that describe the physics behind many physical processes. It can include everything from predicting water flow in a river to simulating how heat moves through rocks to help geologists interpret thermochronological data. Recent advances in observations have improved model performance. For example, re-forecasts of the 2010 Russian heat wave showed skill in predicting the onset and evolution of the event weeks ahead.